Campaign Dogged by Terror Fight

By ADAM NAGOURNEY and DAVID M. HALBFINGER
Published: August 2, 2004
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/02/politics/campaign/02campaign.html?th


BOWLING GREEN, Ohio, Aug. 1 - John Kerry was supposed to spend Sunday traveling through small-town Ohio and Michigan, going to church and talking at rallies. But by afternoon, his campaign was also searching northern Ohio for a secure telephone line so Mr. Kerry could squeeze in a briefing on an issue that was overtaking the day: the terrorist threat announced in Washington.

Three days after he accepted the Democratic presidential nomination, Mr. Kerry, along with President Bush, received a bracing reminder about how the fear of another terrorist attack on American soil had shaped the contest and about how the most pivotal thing that could happen between now and Election Day was beyond the control of either campaign.

Campaign aides said they could not recall a contest fought against such an uncertain and unsettling backdrop since 1968, when Richard M. Nixon and Hubert H. Humphrey battled as an increasingly bloody war was being waged in Vietnam, polarizing Americans at home.

"In a campaign there are things you can control, and things you can't control," said Tad Devine, a senior adviser to Mr. Kerry. "You have to spend as much time as humanly possible worrying about the things you can control. We don't sit around all day talking about what color the terror alert is."

Yet the issue has charged the atmosphere, influencing everything Mr. Bush and Mr. Kerry do these days, as was particularly clear at Mr. Kerry's nominating convention last week.

News of the terror threat on Sunday also stirred renewed suggestions from some Democrats that the White House was manipulating terror alerts for Mr. Bush's political gain. They said the alert had been issued just as Mr. Kerry emerged from a convention that was described by Republicans and Democrats as a success.

"I am concerned that every time something happens that's not good for President Bush, he plays this trump card, which is terrorism," Howard Dean, a former rival of Mr. Kerry for the Democratic nomination, told Wolf Blitzer on CNN on Sunday.

"His whole campaign is based on the notion that 'I can keep you safe, therefore at times of difficulty for America stick with me,' and then out comes Tom Ridge," Mr. Dean, the former Vermont governor, added, referring to the homeland security secretary. "It's just impossible to know how much of this is real and how much of this is politics, and I suspect there's some of both in it."

White House officials denied that suggestion, and other Democrats and Mr. Kerry's advisers would not embrace it. "I certainly hope not," Steve Elmendorf, Mr. Kerry's deputy campaign manager, said. "You have to take them at their word."

But aides on both sides say they are thinking about how the elevated alert level affects the election and about the possibility of an actual terrorist attack as they try to discuss the political repercussions of terrorism without being accused of doing anything as crass as discussing the political repercussions of terrorism.

Mr. Kerry's aides said he immediately embraced the security recommendations of the Sept. 11 commission and criticized Mr. Bush for being slow in his response, in part because of the possibility of more alerts or, worse, an actual attack.

Mr. Bush's campaign advisers have made clear that every reminder of a threat from abroad is also a reminder for voters of what they like about Mr. Bush and stirs what polls have shown to be one of voters' biggest reservations about Mr. Kerry.

Going into the Democratic convention, polling showed voters were much more likely to trust the nation's security to Mr. Bush than Mr. Kerry.

Mr. Bush is preparing to issue orders, perhaps as early as Monday, to put in place some of the changes recommended by the Sept. 11 commission. That is likely to put him at the center of the news, which was dominated last week by the Democrats' convention.

But as Election Day approaches, the political ramifications of the threat from terrorism are not as clear as they were even a year ago.

For one thing, Mr. Bush has been challenged over the past six months by reports from two commissions that have examined antiterrorism policies. Mr. Kerry has begun to seize on those reports to try to undercut Mr. Bush on the subject.

For another, a terror threat is much more sobering to those who live in New York and Washington, which includes much of the nation's political and news media ranks. At the same time some Democrats wondered Sunday whether Americans, after hearing so many of these threats, might begin to disregard them.

Senator Charles Schumer, Democrat of New York, said in an interview that the focus on continuing threats, three years after Sept. 11, was evidence that Mr. Bush was highly vulnerable on this issue.

"I think this is one of the sleeper issues of this campaign," Mr. Schumer said. "It's one where Kerry can show strength and at the same time show that this administration hasn't really thought through the war on terror."

There were signs of concern and confusion in both the Kerry and Bush campaigns on Sunday over how, or whether, to talk about the latest turn of events. Mr. Bush's aides did not respond to requests for comments, while Mr. Kerry's generally resisted talking on the record.

Mr. Kerry learned of the terror alert from James P. Rubin, a senior adviser and former State Department official. Mr. Rubin had received a call from Frances Townsend, the president's homeland security adviser.

At the time, Mr. Kerry was aboard his campaign bus, between stops to attend church and briefly shake hands with supporters in a shopping center parking lot in Springfield, Ohio. But he did not address the subject.

Kerry Plans No More Troops in Iraq

BOWLING GREEN, Ohio, Aug 1 (Reuters) - Mr. Kerry said Sunday that he did not anticipate sending more American troops to Iraq and hoped to bring "significant numbers" home during his first term.

Mr. Kerry said, "I would consider it an unsuccessful policy if I hadn't brought significant numbers of troops back within the first term. And I will do that."

He made the rounds of the television talk programs while on a bus trip through swing states.


Adam Nagourney reported from Washington for this article and David M. Halbfinger from Ohio.